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democrats were not so thrilled with president obama's performance. the question is going to be has mitt romney been able in a race where he's been clearly behind the president to hurt him enough and sustain that momentum over the next three weeks. that's what's really critical. there have been strong debates, john kerry had a strong debate against george w. bush in 2004. but he wasn't able to translate that into lasting benefit. that's the best of the next three weeks, to see whether romney can keep it going or whether president obama comes out with a higher level of aggression, higher level of energy in the next debate and stop the momentum that romney accumulated last night. >> okay. yeah, i had so many different thoughts, john, as we watched the whole thing. i remember that a lot of republicans were supporting newt gingrich because just for this moment, they wanted -- they thought newt was such a great debater, they wanted to see someone like newt talk to president obama about his policies and about the last four years. and they thought newt would
democrats were not so thrilled with president obama's performance. the question is going to be has mitt romney been able in a race where he's been clearly behind the president to hurt him enough and sustain that momentum over the next three weeks. that's what's really critical. there have been strong debates, john kerry had a strong debate against george w. bush in 2004. but he wasn't able to translate that into lasting benefit. that's the best of the next three weeks, to see whether romney can...
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if you look at the in trade probabilities of who's likely to be elected, president obama last week or so peaked at a 76% probability. this morning, it was down to 66% probability. romney moved up 10 percentage points. dan loeb on facebook had put last week out a note that you ought to buy the romney futures because they were so depressed. i don't know how the money works in that thing, but he made ten points on the upside. >> wonder what the capital gains treatment is on that. >> that's a good question. >> rick santelli, i haven't even talked about march you draghi. he had an impact on the markets early on today, didn't he? >> he definitely did. if i look at interest rate complex between the mario draghi influences, the euro rally. we saw interest rates on the safe harbors like ten-year notes move higher. the stocks really grasping in and getting close to triple digits has put the ten-year pretty much at the top of what has been an eight-trading day, 5 1/2 basis point closing range. the boon, which closed a bit ago, is in a 2 1/2 point basis range for seven trading days. it's somewhat
if you look at the in trade probabilities of who's likely to be elected, president obama last week or so peaked at a 76% probability. this morning, it was down to 66% probability. romney moved up 10 percentage points. dan loeb on facebook had put last week out a note that you ought to buy the romney futures because they were so depressed. i don't know how the money works in that thing, but he made ten points on the upside. >> wonder what the capital gains treatment is on that. >>...
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he knows that he only has a few weeks left to go to reverse president obama's lead. president obama on the other hand did not always look so pleased to be challenged the way romney was challenging him. he did not make any big mistakes and one of the questions coming out of this debate, as good as republicans feel and as middling as testimonies feel about this performance, did it really do enough to change the dynamic in the race.feel about this performance, did it really do enough to change the dynamic in the race. next week it's paul ryan and joe biden. and then two more presidential debates. we'll watch the polls for see the impact. >> what was your verdict? we all have our own panel of strategists that will be coming up at 11:30 cet, that's 5:30 eastern. but we do want to hear from you, as well. what did you make of the debate and performance of each of the candidates? you can send us an e-mail at worldwide@cnbc.com. or via twitter, follow the sh show @cnbcwex. or tweet me directly. several of you already writing with your thoughts. @beccymeehan. let me know what
he knows that he only has a few weeks left to go to reverse president obama's lead. president obama on the other hand did not always look so pleased to be challenged the way romney was challenging him. he did not make any big mistakes and one of the questions coming out of this debate, as good as republicans feel and as middling as testimonies feel about this performance, did it really do enough to change the dynamic in the race.feel about this performance, did it really do enough to change the...
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Oct 3, 2012
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president obama and mitt romney have jabbed at each other from afar for weeks, but now they get to do it face to face as they get set tonight for their first debate. slipping growth hits home in china's resilient services sector. >>> and more signs of trouble for the spanish government as the latest figures show its corporate tax revenue has tumbled. mariano rajoy issues the latest denial that he's ready for a bailout. >>> we now have the latest numbers crossing for the eurozone services pmi. the september final services read coming in at 46.1. an improvement that we have seen from the 46 number. this is still the lowest level we're seeing since 2009. the forward indication 49.4. in terms of what we're seeing on the final comp sit pmi, this is above the 45.9 read that we have, but just a fraction below what we saw in august, the rate was 46.3 then. this is the lowest read since may 2009. in terms of new business number for the composite september rate, 43.8. we're still right back at some of these 2009 lows. >>> elsewhere, the numbers are not that much better. lisa has more on these n
president obama and mitt romney have jabbed at each other from afar for weeks, but now they get to do it face to face as they get set tonight for their first debate. slipping growth hits home in china's resilient services sector. >>> and more signs of trouble for the spanish government as the latest figures show its corporate tax revenue has tumbled. mariano rajoy issues the latest denial that he's ready for a bailout. >>> we now have the latest numbers crossing for the...
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Oct 5, 2012
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down about 11.5% for the week. rough week for chipotle. back to you. >> cover the kids' ears. "sesame street" is now a political football. mitt romney shot at funding pbs at wednesday's debate. >> today, president obama took it on as well. >> for all you moms and kids out there, don't worry, somebody is finally getting tough on big bird. rounding him up. elmo's got to watch out too. governor romney plans to let wall street run wild again, but he's going to bring down the hammer on "sesame street." >> i know everybody wants to be sympathetic to big bird and to "sesame street." i love the product. it was started the year i was born. >> thanks, bring that up. >> why does taxpayer money need to go to a product that is clearly so profitable? they have toys. they have games. they make money from licensing and revenue. why do taxpayers have to subsidize that? as a stand alone business, "sesame street" will do just fine. >> doesn't the profit from all those toys go to the nonprofit group? there's a children's television workshop that gets the money. >> they nonprofit, so why does taxp
down about 11.5% for the week. rough week for chipotle. back to you. >> cover the kids' ears. "sesame street" is now a political football. mitt romney shot at funding pbs at wednesday's debate. >> today, president obama took it on as well. >> for all you moms and kids out there, don't worry, somebody is finally getting tough on big bird. rounding him up. elmo's got to watch out too. governor romney plans to let wall street run wild again, but he's going to bring down...
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Oct 9, 2012
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last time, last week, indications of it coming down. >> the wholesale prices, i know. no, they are not. they are not. >> listen, jane, jane -- >> today maybe the peak. >> i hate to be the one that says it, if gas food keeps going up, gas will keep going up. figure that one out. >> all right. so. >> sorry. >> riddle of the day. >> infantile of me. jane. thank you. >>> let's stay on food. because even though many dining stocks have done well, some restaurants put the others to shame. we are talking stocks. so, what is the single best restaurant stock in our next guest investing world? steven anderson, senior analyst at miller tabak. steven, who is your top pick? >> my top pick right now is domino's pizza, dpz. as you may well new york the company launched its new pan pizza about two weeks ago. it's performing really well, the first two weeks since its launch and had its national media debut last sunday. and we think there's a high incidence of reorders for the new pan pizza, most important product launch for dominos in the last three years, we argue, this is the kind of
last time, last week, indications of it coming down. >> the wholesale prices, i know. no, they are not. they are not. >> listen, jane, jane -- >> today maybe the peak. >> i hate to be the one that says it, if gas food keeps going up, gas will keep going up. figure that one out. >> all right. so. >> sorry. >> riddle of the day. >> infantile of me. jane. thank you. >>> let's stay on food. because even though many dining stocks have done...
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Oct 2, 2012
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thank you very much a reminder to all of you tomorrow, president obama, governor romney do kick off the first of three presidential debates and cnbc will carry it live. our coverage begins at 8 p.m. eastern time. it's your money, your vote. sue? >>> ty, the financial crisis haunting america's biggest bank, jpmorgan being sued by new york attorney general eric schneiderman, claiming that the bear sterns business that jpmorgan took over in 2008 defraud mortgage bond investors a are. our senior correspondent scott cone has been working on the case. scott? >> sue, under the head nothing good deed goes unpunished, if how you characterize the takeover of bear stearns, the federal government for the $10 a shake jpmorgan got not only bear stearns' assets but liabilities, including, authorities say responsibility four some of the most egregious conduct in the financial crisis you churning out residential mortgages by the thousands, bundling them into what the firm told investors were quality securities, knowing all along many of the mortgages were duds a systemic fraud on thousands of investors,
thank you very much a reminder to all of you tomorrow, president obama, governor romney do kick off the first of three presidential debates and cnbc will carry it live. our coverage begins at 8 p.m. eastern time. it's your money, your vote. sue? >>> ty, the financial crisis haunting america's biggest bank, jpmorgan being sued by new york attorney general eric schneiderman, claiming that the bear sterns business that jpmorgan took over in 2008 defraud mortgage bond investors a are. our...
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next week sees the vice president presidential debate before we get two more presidential debates. one of the major issues is it that looming fiscal cliff. president obama challenged mitt romney on his plans for cutting the nation's debt. >> when i got on to the stage, i met this very spirited fellow who claimed to be mitt romney. but it couldn't have been mitt romney because the real hit romney has been running around the country for the last year promising $5 trillion in tax cuts that favor the wealthy. the fell wloe on stage last night said he didn't know anything about that. >> the president's vision is trickle down government and i don't think that's what america believes in. i see instead a prosperity that comes through freedom. >> president of the committee for responsible federal budget, director of the fiscal policy program, as well, and joins us now. have you heard anything -- have you heard enough of of a commitment from either side of the aisle that you thought might actually work? >> well, what we didn't hear was enough specifics. so i think the good news is that that
next week sees the vice president presidential debate before we get two more presidential debates. one of the major issues is it that looming fiscal cliff. president obama challenged mitt romney on his plans for cutting the nation's debt. >> when i got on to the stage, i met this very spirited fellow who claimed to be mitt romney. but it couldn't have been mitt romney because the real hit romney has been running around the country for the last year promising $5 trillion in tax cuts that...
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obama's favorite bankers. before we get to the deficit and all of the debates last week. were you depressed, unhappy, miserable? give us an adjective. >> well one, i'm not depressed. i see joe smiling. he's not going to yell at me today. >> there's a number of polls, an enthusiasm gap. >> i wouldn't say that. governor romney had a very good debate, no question, he put on a great show, but to me i think we should be focusing, this is a business show on friday's unemployment number, which was a great number, and not a surprise, based on what the economy's been doing over the last three years. >> 114,000 is not a great number. >> 140,000 on average over the last six months. >> what came out on friday was below expectations for 114,000. >> you know what revisions has done each month so we should look to see where the revisions are. i think if you look over this year, you're averaging about 140,000, i think we should -- >> 140,000 is anemic and not enough to bring down the rate even though it has somehow. >> i would look at it differently. i think over the last three years the
obama's favorite bankers. before we get to the deficit and all of the debates last week. were you depressed, unhappy, miserable? give us an adjective. >> well one, i'm not depressed. i see joe smiling. he's not going to yell at me today. >> there's a number of polls, an enthusiasm gap. >> i wouldn't say that. governor romney had a very good debate, no question, he put on a great show, but to me i think we should be focusing, this is a business show on friday's unemployment...
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i expect barack obama to come back in two weeks and be far more effective. but the spin from the democrats, i've got to admit, has been pretty weak. >> if you are in charge of prep for them over the next two weeks, how would you alter strategy, if at all? >> well, the for matt is an interesting one that should play to barack obama's strength. it's a town hall format. you'll see a far more aggressive president and he'll try to put him on defense. the question, really, is it's got to be on issues of foreign policy and areas where he might get to do that. so interesting time for the president. and like i said, the hardest part about this and out of all the element os testify campaign, debates are the worst. it parolizes the campaign. it seizes up, particularly if you come out of the gate and do not have a good performance. it puts all the pressure on the president, puts pressure on the staff. so the next two weeks, not going to be fun in the obama camp but i would expect a sharper more offensive-minded debate. >> as you point out, you're dealing with an area wh
i expect barack obama to come back in two weeks and be far more effective. but the spin from the democrats, i've got to admit, has been pretty weak. >> if you are in charge of prep for them over the next two weeks, how would you alter strategy, if at all? >> well, the for matt is an interesting one that should play to barack obama's strength. it's a town hall format. you'll see a far more aggressive president and he'll try to put him on defense. the question, really, is it's got to...
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b obama has the lead. we still have a month to go. the next two weeks with three presidential, one vice presidential debates, we have a chance for mitt romney to set a different impression with the american people than he's been able to do so far. who knows what president obama will do and what events are happening in the world. but i'm not sure other than some tightening from a little surge that obama had which i think is receding a little bit, i'm not sure what nate is talking about. >> john, you wrote a column that talks about the debates and the impact of the debates traditionally. and made the case that traditionally it makes very little impact. >> there are many individual moments that make an impression. but to fundamentally change where a race is going is very rare and you need a combination of events. the example that i used in that piece, andrew, was 2000, al gore had a lead of about what president obama has now entering the debates against george w. bush. he had a reputation as a strong debater. his body language was off, h
b obama has the lead. we still have a month to go. the next two weeks with three presidential, one vice presidential debates, we have a chance for mitt romney to set a different impression with the american people than he's been able to do so far. who knows what president obama will do and what events are happening in the world. but i'm not sure other than some tightening from a little surge that obama had which i think is receding a little bit, i'm not sure what nate is talking about. >>...
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didn't have to argue this would be an obama rally. >> i would think so. same people who were trying to push the victory leading to the prices yesterday how do they figure the unemployment numbers here. so what we're really seeing and i wrote about it in my comments this morning, is we're still going by europe is driving the bus. and yesterday was moving up. could you see some romney influences? the coal companies that he mentioned and some of the health care people and you can see some of the obama influences. but that's kind of the backdrop. the reason why the numbers look disproportional says a blot our mrk markets being illiquid. >> what does it mean about merkel going to greece. is that pivotal? >> i'm not sure unless there's a surprise. poor greece is out there festering. everybody is concentrating on spain. greece has not been solved. would be good to solve it. but that doesn't change anything about spain which is a much bigger factor and spain brings in the challenge of italy behind it. so that the game has moved up field a little bit here. so, you
didn't have to argue this would be an obama rally. >> i would think so. same people who were trying to push the victory leading to the prices yesterday how do they figure the unemployment numbers here. so what we're really seeing and i wrote about it in my comments this morning, is we're still going by europe is driving the bus. and yesterday was moving up. could you see some romney influences? the coal companies that he mentioned and some of the health care people and you can see some of...
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or president obama for another four years. >> what, if it's over 150? >> i think if it's over 150, you're going to see him a whole lot for the week after that, talking about jobs and how he's creating jobs, yeah. >> um-hum. >> i know that doesn't make you happy. we can pile that on your unhappiness for the -- >> you're just saying either/or, you're not predicting what's going to happen with jobs, right? >> well i've seen as high as 130, as low as 100. i think it's a little too early to talk about it. i think it will be on the low side of that range, but that's why i think under 100 is bad and above 150 would be great. >> the bad numbers really haven't hurt him recently so i don't know if the good number -- i don't know at this point and what's the participation rate going to do? how are they going to play around with that this time, going under eight by the election? >> well, if participation continues to fall off, then yeah. >> right. >> unfortunately that's a pretty wonky, geeky conversation to have. >> doesn't matter if it's under eight, if he can cl
or president obama for another four years. >> what, if it's over 150? >> i think if it's over 150, you're going to see him a whole lot for the week after that, talking about jobs and how he's creating jobs, yeah. >> um-hum. >> i know that doesn't make you happy. we can pile that on your unhappiness for the -- >> you're just saying either/or, you're not predicting what's going to happen with jobs, right? >> well i've seen as high as 130, as low as 100. i think...
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president obama among likely voters leads by three points, 49 to 46. that's down from a five-point edge that he had in our poll just about three weeks ago. if you also look at the nbc "wall street journal" maris swing state polls, he's pulled even with president obama in the state of florida. that's the biggest swing state, 29 electoral votes. if you go then to virginia, he's also pulled within two points in virginia. he had been down four or five before. the bad news for romney in these three polls is that in ohio, a state that is critical, romney strategists think they have to win florida and ohio to get to 270 electoral votes. he's still down eight percentage points, and what we've seen across these polls is that obama is increasingly competitive with romney on who would do best to handle the economy. but the fact that we've got a little bit of movement nationally and movement in florida and virginia tells me that there's still some play in this electorate, in this contest, and that's the hope for romney going into this debate tonight. >> what do yo
president obama among likely voters leads by three points, 49 to 46. that's down from a five-point edge that he had in our poll just about three weeks ago. if you also look at the nbc "wall street journal" maris swing state polls, he's pulled even with president obama in the state of florida. that's the biggest swing state, 29 electoral votes. if you go then to virginia, he's also pulled within two points in virginia. he had been down four or five before. the bad news for romney in...